Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.188703 0.218763 0.252075 0.291735 0.337680 0.389250 0.451557
2025-06-22 0.136657 0.175423 0.222921 0.285429 0.365605 0.465109 0.598194
2025-06-29 0.110063 0.151552 0.206024 0.282839 0.388538 0.529145 0.730910
2025-07-06 0.093508 0.136337 0.195826 0.284588 0.413944 0.596065 0.872897
2025-07-13 0.084613 0.129642 0.195319 0.298234 0.455885 0.689060 1.061711
2025-07-20 0.076635 0.122739 0.192986 0.307994 0.492213 0.776975 1.252980
2025-07-27 0.069951 0.116658 0.190714 0.316914 0.527472 0.866346 1.456565
2025-08-03 0.063146 0.109319 0.185273 0.319588 0.552303 0.941075 1.644474
2025-08-10 0.056276 0.100880 0.176817 0.315826 0.565308 0.996881 1.806006
2025-08-17 0.049406 0.091513 0.165550 0.305558 0.565299 1.029602 1.929754
2025-08-24 0.046087 0.088075 0.164210 0.312726 0.597114 1.121656 2.171710
2025-08-31 0.042374 0.083421 0.160059 0.314035 0.617890 1.195303 2.387005
2025-09-07 0.039501 0.080109 0.158182 0.319746 0.648337 1.291695 2.660740
2025-09-14 0.035492 0.074079 0.150398 0.312921 0.653261 1.339193 2.842777
2025-09-21 0.032393 0.069508 0.144943 0.310078 0.665757 1.402879 3.065548
2025-09-28 0.030102 0.066343 0.141970 0.311996 0.688317 1.489546 3.347543
2025-10-05 0.029195 0.066042 0.144932 0.326965 0.740692 1.645039 3.799569
2025-10-12 0.027977 0.064899 0.145934 0.337671 0.784783 1.787286 4.238907
2025-10-19 0.026771 0.063636 0.146515 0.347457 0.827845 1.931894 4.701272
2025-10-26 0.025165 0.061247 0.144276 0.350391 0.855174 2.043379 5.098097
2025-11-02 0.023231 0.057849 0.139325 0.346263 0.865049 2.114867 5.405596
2025-11-09 0.021040 0.053567 0.131811 0.334999 0.856060 2.139913 5.599458
2025-11-16 0.020172 0.052495 0.131950 0.342863 0.896019 2.289668 6.132302